Wednesday, September 14, 2005

Short-Term Interest Rates on the Rise: ARM Holders Prepare for Increase in Interest Rates

Kevin Kowalke, Mortgage Consultant & Co-Owner of KLM Mortgage, Inc.

Interest rates are on the rise and many home-owners, who have adjustable rate mortgages, may see increases in their forthcoming annual adjustments.

Our current market reflects the reaction of investors reading between the lines on comments made by the Fed, and mortgage interest rates are going up. This will have an affect on home-owners with adjustable rate mortgages (ARMs) tied to indexes that are based on short-term interest rates. This includes the 11th District Cost of Funds, 12-Month Treasury Average (MTA), London Inter Bank Offering Rates (LIBOR) and others.

This doesn’t mean that everyone with an adjustable mortgage is in trouble right away. Some indexes are more volatile than others. COFI moves much slower than other adjustable rate indexes, while the LIBOR fluctuates with more volatility. But remember, when an ARM adjusts, the new interest rate is a sum of the borrower’s fixed margin plus the current rate of the index the mortgage is tied to.

Consumers who foresee paying an interest rate that is significantly higher may want to consider refinancing to take advantage of the stability of a fixed rate mortgage.

As with any decision to refinance, it is important to take the terms of the existing loan, the cost of the new loan, and the borrower’s long-term needs into consideration. As a qualified mortgage professional I can help weigh out the options by providing a clear assessment of available loan programs for any consumer.

Contact Kevin Kowalke at (414) 453-7620 for more information.

Kevin Kowalke
Mortgage Consultant
KLM Mortgage Group, Inc.
7119 West North Avenue
Wauwatosa, WI 53213
Phone: 414/453-7620

Keeping Our Emotions in Check

Dan Gilipsky, Financial Advisor at Piper Jaffray in Milwaukee

The biggest obstacle in making good investment decisions is probably our emotions. Numerous studies over the years have found that investors have certain psychological biases that get in the way of making purely rational decisions:

We look for patterns in life, even when they don’t exist. Thus, when the market is going up, we think it will continue on that track indefinitely and continue to invest as the market gets higher and higher. When the market is going down, we fear it will continue to do so forever and avoid investing, even when prices are attractive. This causes investors to buy high and sell low, the opposite of what they should be doing.

We would much rather avoid losses than obtain gains. Thus, we tend to hold on to stocks with losses for an inordinate amount of time, hoping the stock will get back to breakeven so we don’t have to admit we lost money. On the other hand, we tend to sell investments with gains too quickly, so we can lock in those gains.

We become more risk tolerant when we have gains on investments. As those gains disappear, however, investors become more risk averse because their principle is at risk. This can lead to selling when investments are at market lows.

Contact Dan Gilipsky at (414) 289-3801 for more information.

Dan T. Gilipsky
Financial Advisor
Piper Jaffray & Company
411 East Wisconsin, Suite 1700
Milwaukee, WI 53202
Phone: 414/289-3801